DDM Analysis: BBCA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12,185.78 - $38,259.17	$19,566.61
Multi-Stage	$8,336.32 - $9,091.65	$8,707.19
Blended Fair Value	$14,136.90
Current Price	$8,675.00
Upside	62.96%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	31.34%	27.21%	277.51	212.51	155.01	111.40	110.60	71.00	52.00	42.00	35.00	30.60
YoY Growth	-	-	30.59%	37.10%	39.14%	0.72%	55.77%	36.54%	23.81%	20.00%	14.38%	22.40%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.26%	2.16%	1.77%	1.40%	1.78%	1.29%	0.95%	0.90%	1.06%	1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	56,976,535.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36,982,515.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19,994,020.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11,395,307.00	7,122,066.88	4,273,240.13
Cash Retained (M)	19,994,020.00	19,994,020.00	19,994,020.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11,395,307.00	-7,122,066.88	-4,273,240.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8,598,713.00	12,871,953.13	15,720,779.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	123,270.28	123,270.28	123,270.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share	69.75	104.42	127.53
LTM Dividend per Share	300.01	300.01	300.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	69.75	104.42	127.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend	369.77	404.43	427.54
WACC / Discount Rate	8.70%	8.70%	8.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$12,185.78	$19,566.61	$38,259.17
Upside / Downside	40.47%	125.55%	341.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	56,976,535.00	60,680,009.78	64,624,210.41	68,824,784.09	73,298,395.05	78,062,790.73	80,404,674.45
Payout Ratio	64.91%	69.93%	74.94%	79.96%	84.98%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36,982,515.00	42,431,504.54	48,432,611.59	55,034,589.46	62,290,196.66	70,256,511.66	74,374,323.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.70%	8.70%	8.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	38,668,429.64	39,034,955.04	39,401,480.44
Year 2 PV (M)	40,222,966.37	40,989,100.90	41,762,463.12
Year 3 PV (M)	41,652,401.23	42,848,091.98	44,066,449.18
Year 4 PV (M)	42,962,754.53	44,614,980.83	46,314,410.07
Year 5 PV (M)	44,159,800.50	46,292,735.38	48,507,302.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	819,953,963.30	859,558,046.32	900,677,870.82
Equity Value (M)	1,027,620,315.56	1,073,337,910.44	1,120,729,976.32
Shares Outstanding (M)	123,270.28	123,270.28	123,270.28
Fair Value	$8,336.32	$8,707.19	$9,091.65
Upside / Downside	-3.90%	0.37%	4.80%

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688697.SS	Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co., Ltd.	2.89%	$0.44	66.80%
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Financial Statements

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PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (BBCA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener