Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Avient Corporation (AVNT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.65 - $40.31$28.43
Multi-Stage$17.09 - $18.57$17.82
Blended Fair Value$23.13
Current Price$32.95
Upside-29.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.29%12.14%1.020.980.950.850.780.660.610.480.440.39
YoY Growth--4.21%3.92%11.71%8.98%18.24%7.49%27.21%9.70%12.61%19.40%
Dividend Yield--2.75%2.29%2.30%1.76%1.64%3.46%2.05%1.13%1.28%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.6614.168.50
Cash Retained (M)15.7015.7015.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.66-14.16-8.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)-6.961.547.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)91.8391.8391.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.020.08
LTM Dividend per Share1.061.061.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.020.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.14
WACC / Discount Rate10.54%10.54%10.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20.65$28.43$40.31
Upside / Downside-37.34%-13.70%22.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113.30120.66128.51136.86145.76155.23159.89
Payout Ratio86.14%86.91%87.69%88.46%89.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.60104.87112.68121.06130.06139.71147.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.54%10.54%10.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93.9894.8795.76
Year 2 PV (M)90.4992.2193.95
Year 3 PV (M)87.1289.6292.17
Year 4 PV (M)83.8787.1090.41
Year 5 PV (M)80.7484.6488.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,132.971,187.691,244.51
Equity Value (M)1,569.161,636.131,705.49
Shares Outstanding (M)91.8391.8391.83
Fair Value$17.09$17.82$18.57
Upside / Downside-48.14%-45.92%-43.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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