Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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United Urban Investment Corporation (8960.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$154,867.93 - $247,634.28$196,923.16
Multi-Stage$330,480.41 - $363,157.02$346,501.64
Blended Fair Value$271,712.40
Current Price$151,200.00
Upside79.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.10%5.08%7,032.476,401.646,280.406,370.816,980.987,066.156,822.236,100.935,310.394,845.46
YoY Growth--9.85%1.93%-1.42%-8.74%-1.21%3.58%11.82%14.89%9.60%13.05%
Dividend Yield--5.15%4.41%4.07%4.41%5.92%3.32%3.78%3.83%3.04%2.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46,055.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31,691.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,364.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,211.185,756.983,454.19
Cash Retained (M)14,364.1614,364.1614,364.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,211.18-5,756.98-3,454.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,152.988,607.1710,909.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.083.083.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,670.852,790.873,537.55
LTM Dividend per Share10,276.0210,276.0210,276.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,670.852,790.873,537.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend11,946.8713,066.8913,813.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-1.14%-0.14%0.86%
Fair Value$154,867.93$196,923.16$247,634.28
Upside / Downside2.43%30.24%63.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46,055.8845,989.1745,922.5545,856.0445,789.6245,723.3047,095.00
Payout Ratio68.81%73.05%77.29%81.52%85.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31,691.7233,594.7035,492.1137,383.9439,270.2341,150.9743,562.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-1.14%-0.14%0.86%
Year 1 PV (M)31,233.9731,549.9331,865.88
Year 2 PV (M)30,679.2431,303.0731,933.18
Year 3 PV (M)30,043.7630,964.7731,904.41
Year 4 PV (M)29,341.9530,547.3631,789.53
Year 5 PV (M)28,586.5730,062.0031,597.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)869,331.11914,199.68960,902.05
Equity Value (M)1,019,216.611,068,626.811,119,992.79
Shares Outstanding (M)3.083.083.08
Fair Value$330,480.41$346,501.64$363,157.02
Upside / Downside118.57%129.17%140.18%

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