Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Takashimaya Company, Limited (8233.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,424.58 - $22,834.91$8,990.00
Multi-Stage$2,498.86 - $2,734.84$2,614.69
Blended Fair Value$5,802.34
Current Price$1,331.00
Upside335.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.35%7.36%18.7113.4911.0411.0411.0411.4411.5711.5711.5710.68
YoY Growth--38.72%22.19%0.00%0.00%-3.47%-1.14%0.00%0.00%8.37%16.08%
Dividend Yield--1.62%1.04%1.18%1.72%1.77%2.18%2.01%1.27%1.12%1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41,666.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,571.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)34,095.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,333.205,208.253,124.95
Cash Retained (M)34,095.0034,095.0034,095.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,333.20-5,208.25-3,124.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)25,761.8028,886.7530,970.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)362.42362.42362.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share71.0879.7185.45
LTM Dividend per Share20.8920.8920.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share71.0879.7185.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend91.97100.60106.35
WACC / Discount Rate7.55%7.55%7.55%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Fair Value$4,424.58$8,990.00$22,834.91
Upside / Downside232.42%575.43%1,615.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41,666.0044,316.9647,136.5950,135.6153,325.4456,718.2358,419.77
Payout Ratio18.17%32.54%46.90%61.27%75.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,571.0014,419.2122,108.2030,717.2240,332.2451,046.4054,038.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.55%7.55%7.55%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Year 1 PV (M)13,280.6113,406.6613,532.71
Year 2 PV (M)18,754.5519,112.2419,473.31
Year 3 PV (M)24,000.0424,689.9025,392.86
Year 4 PV (M)29,024.1230,141.7831,291.42
Year 5 PV (M)33,833.6235,469.9737,169.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)786,731.81824,781.82864,290.01
Equity Value (M)905,624.76947,602.38991,149.34
Shares Outstanding (M)362.42362.42362.42
Fair Value$2,498.86$2,614.69$2,734.84
Upside / Downside87.74%96.45%105.47%

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