Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tenaga Nasional Berhad (5347.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.48 - $27.00$18.74
Multi-Stage$32.90 - $36.20$34.52
Blended Fair Value$26.63
Current Price$14.38
Upside85.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.39%8.10%0.530.440.370.790.900.520.500.380.280.28
YoY Growth--21.13%16.33%-52.25%-12.75%73.71%2.80%32.94%34.75%0.00%16.00%
Dividend Yield--3.84%3.83%4.06%8.73%8.89%4.31%3.99%2.45%2.00%2.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,754.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,964.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,790.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)950.98594.36356.62
Cash Retained (M)1,790.301,790.301,790.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-950.98-594.36-356.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)839.321,195.941,433.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,817.255,817.255,817.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.210.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.210.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate5.04%5.04%5.04%
Growth Rate0.18%1.18%2.18%
Fair Value$13.48$18.74$27.00
Upside / Downside-6.29%30.33%87.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,754.904,810.974,867.694,925.094,983.165,041.925,193.18
Payout Ratio62.35%67.88%73.41%78.94%84.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,964.603,265.623,573.323,887.834,209.264,537.734,803.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.04%5.04%5.04%
Growth Rate0.18%1.18%2.18%
Year 1 PV (M)3,078.193,108.923,139.64
Year 2 PV (M)3,174.923,238.623,302.95
Year 3 PV (M)3,256.103,354.583,455.03
Year 4 PV (M)3,322.963,457.643,596.38
Year 5 PV (M)3,376.663,548.593,727.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)175,189.13184,109.23193,389.05
Equity Value (M)191,397.95200,817.59210,610.51
Shares Outstanding (M)5,817.255,817.255,817.25
Fair Value$32.90$34.52$36.20
Upside / Downside128.80%140.06%151.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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