Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kuriyama Holdings Corporation (3355.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,125.91 - $41,117.87$38,532.31
Multi-Stage$5,967.18 - $6,535.32$6,246.01
Blended Fair Value$22,389.16
Current Price$1,483.00
Upside1,409.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.82%19.45%67.9230.1525.1421.1420.1519.1517.8718.0418.0516.41
YoY Growth--125.31%19.92%18.93%4.88%5.24%7.15%-0.95%-0.03%10.00%42.86%
Dividend Yield--5.13%2.29%2.88%2.19%2.86%4.32%1.91%1.62%2.18%2.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,072.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,111.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,961.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)814.58509.11305.47
Cash Retained (M)2,961.782,961.782,961.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-814.58-509.11-305.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,147.192,452.662,656.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.6419.6419.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share109.35124.90135.27
LTM Dividend per Share56.5856.5856.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share109.35124.90135.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend165.93181.49191.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.16%6.16%7.16%
Fair Value$13,125.91$38,532.31$41,117.87
Upside / Downside785.09%2,498.27%2,672.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,072.924,323.724,589.964,872.605,172.655,491.165,655.90
Payout Ratio27.28%39.82%52.37%64.91%77.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,111.141,721.922,403.703,162.934,006.544,942.055,231.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.16%6.16%7.16%
Year 1 PV (M)1,601.791,617.021,632.25
Year 2 PV (M)2,080.012,119.762,159.89
Year 3 PV (M)2,546.052,619.382,694.10
Year 4 PV (M)3,000.123,115.883,234.96
Year 5 PV (M)3,442.473,609.293,782.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)104,505.74109,570.14114,829.01
Equity Value (M)117,176.18122,651.47128,332.72
Shares Outstanding (M)19.6419.6419.64
Fair Value$5,967.18$6,246.01$6,535.32
Upside / Downside302.37%321.17%340.68%

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