Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gakujo Co., Ltd. (2301.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,266.01 - $1,900.67$1,566.40
Multi-Stage$1,084.58 - $1,178.93$1,130.93
Blended Fair Value$1,348.66
Current Price$1,614.00
Upside-16.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.69%11.40%71.8654.2650.2840.5232.5036.2137.9436.1033.3029.21
YoY Growth--32.42%7.93%24.09%24.68%-10.25%-4.57%5.09%8.43%13.98%19.63%
Dividend Yield--4.45%2.40%2.81%2.90%3.35%2.84%1.67%2.84%1.95%2.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,892.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)548.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,344.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)378.43236.52141.91
Cash Retained (M)1,344.031,344.031,344.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-378.43-236.52-141.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)965.601,107.511,202.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.5813.5813.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share71.1381.5888.55
LTM Dividend per Share40.3840.3840.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share71.1381.5888.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend111.51121.96128.93
WACC / Discount Rate14.79%14.79%14.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,266.01$1,566.40$1,900.67
Upside / Downside-21.56%-2.95%17.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,892.162,015.152,146.142,285.642,434.212,592.432,670.20
Payout Ratio28.97%41.17%53.38%65.59%77.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)548.13829.741,145.631,499.091,893.662,333.192,469.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate14.79%14.79%14.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)716.03722.82729.60
Year 2 PV (M)853.15869.40885.81
Year 3 PV (M)963.39991.041,019.22
Year 4 PV (M)1,050.181,090.571,132.11
Year 5 PV (M)1,116.611,170.551,226.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,024.1610,508.3311,011.03
Equity Value (M)14,723.5215,352.7116,004.32
Shares Outstanding (M)13.5813.5813.58
Fair Value$1,084.58$1,130.93$1,178.93
Upside / Downside-32.80%-29.93%-26.96%

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