Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sunny Optical Technology (Group) Company Limited (0Z4I.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.66 - $47.04$39.67
Multi-Stage$50.45 - $55.45$52.90
Blended Fair Value$46.29
Current Price$63.26
Upside-26.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-18.19%5.57%0.210.470.970.910.730.570.670.290.210.16
YoY Growth---55.86%-51.15%7.26%23.93%27.84%-14.08%127.93%39.42%34.19%28.10%
Dividend Yield--0.32%0.77%1.18%0.45%0.51%0.47%1.09%0.32%0.69%1.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,007.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)773.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,234.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,001.60626.00375.60
Cash Retained (M)4,234.204,234.204,234.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,001.60-626.00-375.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,232.603,608.203,858.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.091,090.091,090.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.973.313.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.710.710.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.973.313.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.684.024.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.29%9.29%9.29%
Growth Rate-1.77%-0.77%0.23%
Fair Value$32.66$39.67$47.04
Upside / Downside-48.37%-37.29%-25.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,007.994,969.654,931.614,893.864,856.394,819.214,963.79
Payout Ratio15.45%30.36%45.27%60.18%75.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)773.791,508.832,232.582,945.153,646.684,337.294,591.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.29%9.29%9.29%
Growth Rate-1.77%-0.77%0.23%
Year 1 PV (M)1,366.671,380.591,394.50
Year 2 PV (M)1,831.691,869.171,907.03
Year 3 PV (M)2,188.642,256.172,325.06
Year 4 PV (M)2,454.642,556.132,660.73
Year 5 PV (M)2,644.432,781.802,924.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)44,509.3146,821.3749,228.52
Equity Value (M)54,995.3957,665.2260,440.67
Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.091,090.091,090.09
Fair Value$50.45$52.90$55.45
Upside / Downside-20.25%-16.38%-12.35%

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