Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Sempra (0L5A.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91.25 - $317.88$150.59
Multi-Stage$85.93 - $94.03$89.91
Blended Fair Value$120.25
Current Price$89.28
Upside34.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.72%9.63%2.312.282.272.202.051.751.491.161.060.97
YoY Growth--1.08%0.61%3.08%7.44%17.27%17.49%27.95%10.06%9.24%5.02%
Dividend Yield--3.29%3.18%3.02%2.60%3.11%2.92%2.36%2.10%2.41%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,161.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,573.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)588.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)432.20270.13162.08
Cash Retained (M)588.00588.00588.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-432.20-270.13-162.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)155.80317.88425.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)650.15650.15650.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.490.66
LTM Dividend per Share2.422.422.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.490.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.662.913.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate3.72%4.72%5.72%
Fair Value$91.25$150.59$317.88
Upside / Downside2.20%68.67%256.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,161.002,263.022,369.862,481.742,598.902,721.592,803.24
Payout Ratio72.79%76.23%79.67%83.12%86.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,573.001,725.151,888.172,062.722,249.562,449.432,593.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate3.72%4.72%5.72%
Year 1 PV (M)1,600.731,616.171,631.60
Year 2 PV (M)1,625.631,657.131,688.93
Year 3 PV (M)1,647.841,695.961,745.01
Year 4 PV (M)1,667.491,732.731,799.87
Year 5 PV (M)1,684.701,767.491,853.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,640.6849,981.9752,414.42
Equity Value (M)55,867.0758,451.4561,133.34
Shares Outstanding (M)650.15650.15650.15
Fair Value$85.93$89.91$94.03
Upside / Downside-3.75%0.70%5.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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