Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ABG Sundal Collier Holding ASA (0IZM.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.87 - $36.08$20.01
Multi-Stage$13.61 - $14.89$14.24
Blended Fair Value$17.13
Current Price$7.03
Upside143.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.52%1.52%0.450.430.820.820.360.350.610.410.490.80
YoY Growth--4.66%-47.16%-0.53%127.90%4.36%-43.46%49.52%-15.85%-39.11%105.14%
Dividend Yield--6.23%7.09%13.44%9.67%4.06%11.25%14.98%6.43%8.94%12.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)308.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.7038.5623.14
Cash Retained (M)48.1948.1948.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.70-38.56-23.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.519.6225.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)574.23574.23574.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.78%6.78%6.78%
Growth Rate3.33%4.33%5.33%
Fair Value$12.87$20.01$36.08
Upside / Downside83.07%184.66%413.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)308.50321.87335.82350.37365.56381.40392.84
Payout Ratio84.38%85.50%86.63%87.75%88.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.31275.21290.91307.46324.89343.26363.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.78%6.78%6.78%
Growth Rate3.33%4.33%5.33%
Year 1 PV (M)255.26257.73260.20
Year 2 PV (M)250.25255.12260.04
Year 3 PV (M)245.31252.50259.83
Year 4 PV (M)240.42249.86259.58
Year 5 PV (M)235.59247.22259.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,589.816,914.907,252.70
Equity Value (M)7,816.658,177.338,551.64
Shares Outstanding (M)574.23574.23574.23
Fair Value$13.61$14.24$14.89
Upside / Downside93.63%102.57%111.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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