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Definitive Analysis

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Hyundai Department Store Co. Ltd. (069960.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,381,431.19 - $1,627,560.00$1,525,262.07
Multi-Stage$5,336,824.25 - $5,860,123.90$5,593,573.88
Blended Fair Value$3,559,417.97
Current Price$88,500.00
Upside3,921.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.25%7.87%1,736.181,895.881,103.541,013.961,024.70931.90828.36730.08732.33866.94
YoY Growth---8.42%71.80%8.83%-1.05%9.96%12.50%13.46%-0.31%-15.53%6.49%
Dividend Yield--2.90%3.50%2.02%1.34%1.13%1.58%0.82%0.79%0.73%0.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178,284.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40,294.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)137,990.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35,656.9722,285.6013,371.36
Cash Retained (M)137,990.26137,990.26137,990.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-35,656.97-22,285.60-13,371.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)102,333.30115,704.66124,618.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.7921.7921.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,697.425,311.215,720.40
LTM Dividend per Share1,849.651,849.651,849.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,697.425,311.215,720.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend6,547.077,160.857,570.05
WACC / Discount Rate-27.90%-27.90%-27.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,381,431.19$1,525,262.07$1,627,560.00
Upside / Downside1,460.94%1,623.46%1,739.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178,284.83189,873.34202,215.11215,359.09229,357.43244,265.66251,593.63
Payout Ratio22.60%36.08%49.56%63.04%76.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40,294.5768,508.17100,219.30135,763.43175,504.87219,839.09232,724.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-27.90%-27.90%-27.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)94,123.6095,015.7695,907.93
Year 2 PV (M)189,174.97192,778.22196,415.46
Year 3 PV (M)352,088.02362,195.20372,493.99
Year 4 PV (M)625,336.49649,385.17674,120.90
Year 5 PV (M)1,076,181.901,128,161.891,182,131.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)113,925,811.37119,428,470.66125,141,729.67
Equity Value (M)116,262,716.35121,856,006.90127,662,799.22
Shares Outstanding (M)21.7921.7921.79
Fair Value$5,336,824.25$5,593,573.88$5,860,123.90
Upside / Downside5,930.31%6,220.42%6,521.61%

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