Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Thoresen Thai Agencies Public Company Limited (TTA-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$127.28 - $253.28$237.36
Multi-Stage$38.64 - $42.32$40.45
Blended Fair Value$138.90
Current Price$4.74
Upside2,830.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.20%127.58%0.180.220.220.020.060.050.080.050.050.21
YoY Growth---18.18%0.00%999.97%-66.67%20.00%-33.34%50.01%0.00%-75.43%421,289.77%
Dividend Yield--4.51%3.49%2.94%0.22%0.49%2.69%1.50%0.65%0.53%2.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,303.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)400.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,902.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)460.64287.90172.74
Cash Retained (M)1,902.351,902.351,902.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-460.64-287.90-172.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,441.701,614.441,729.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,808.521,808.521,808.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.800.890.96
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.800.890.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.111.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$127.28$237.36$253.28
Upside / Downside2,585.20%4,907.51%5,243.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,303.222,452.932,612.372,782.172,963.013,155.613,250.28
Payout Ratio17.40%31.92%46.44%60.96%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)400.87783.071,213.261,696.072,236.512,840.053,006.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)729.44736.35743.27
Year 2 PV (M)1,052.761,072.811,093.06
Year 3 PV (M)1,370.901,410.261,450.36
Year 4 PV (M)1,683.921,748.681,815.29
Year 5 PV (M)1,991.892,088.102,187.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,047.8066,093.0369,254.81
Equity Value (M)69,876.7173,149.2376,544.77
Shares Outstanding (M)1,808.521,808.521,808.52
Fair Value$38.64$40.45$42.32
Upside / Downside715.14%753.31%792.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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