DDM Analysis: TSFA.F

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6,333.31 - $30,425.36	$13,724.49
Multi-Stage	$3,385.34 - $3,703.10	$3,541.31
Blended Fair Value	$8,632.90
Current Price	$8,480.33
Upside	1.80%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.96%	16.66%	35.00	28.13	27.50	25.62	25.00	25.00	20.00	17.50	15.00	11.25
YoY Growth	-	-	24.45%	2.27%	7.32%	2.50%	0.00%	25.00%	14.29%	16.67%	33.34%	50.01%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.64%	0.63%	0.97%	0.86%	0.75%	1.71%	1.57%	1.39%	1.51%	1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,586,819.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	440,849.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,145,969.31

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	317,363.83	198,352.39	119,011.43
Cash Retained (M)	1,145,969.31	1,145,969.31	1,145,969.31
(-) Cash Required (M)	-317,363.83	-198,352.39	-119,011.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)	828,605.48	947,616.92	1,026,957.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	10,372.22	10,372.22	10,372.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	79.89	91.36	99.01
LTM Dividend per Share	42.50	42.50	42.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	79.89	91.36	99.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	122.39	133.86	141.51
WACC / Discount Rate	7.54%	7.54%	7.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$6,333.31	$13,724.49	$30,425.36
Upside / Downside	-25.32%	61.84%	258.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,586,819.13	1,689,962.37	1,799,809.93	1,916,797.57	2,041,389.41	2,174,079.72	2,239,302.12
Payout Ratio	27.78%	40.23%	52.67%	65.11%	77.56%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	440,849.82	679,797.27	947,945.31	1,248,080.44	1,583,228.07	1,956,671.75	2,071,354.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.54%	7.54%	7.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	626,206.01	632,141.61	638,077.21
Year 2 PV (M)	804,375.63	819,696.72	835,162.36
Year 3 PV (M)	975,564.55	1,003,569.50	1,032,105.34
Year 4 PV (M)	1,139,973.42	1,183,813.59	1,228,906.23
Year 5 PV (M)	1,297,797.80	1,360,481.92	1,425,565.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)	30,269,544.53	31,731,574.85	33,249,560.51
Equity Value (M)	35,113,461.94	36,731,278.19	38,409,376.75
Shares Outstanding (M)	10,372.22	10,372.22	10,372.22
Fair Value	$3,385.34	$3,541.31	$3,703.10
Upside / Downside	-60.08%	-58.24%	-56.33%

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSFA.F)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener