Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Periods / Units / Analysis

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Santos Brasil Participações S.A. (STBP3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$78.90 - $187.31$175.54
Multi-Stage$28.30 - $30.93$29.59
Blended Fair Value$102.57
Current Price$13.83
Upside641.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS198.28%18.85%0.770.360.760.120.010.000.000.000.000.06
YoY Growth--114.95%-52.59%525.90%796.93%312.72%36.98%0.00%-100.00%-92.20%-54.07%
Dividend Yield--5.81%3.35%12.10%2.21%0.29%0.11%0.09%0.00%0.32%6.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)814.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)637.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)176.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)162.86101.7961.07
Cash Retained (M)176.64176.64176.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-162.86-101.79-61.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.7874.85115.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)864.55864.55864.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.090.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.740.740.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.090.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.750.820.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$78.90$175.54$187.31
Upside / Downside470.52%1,169.27%1,254.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)814.29867.22923.59983.621,047.551,115.651,149.11
Payout Ratio78.31%80.65%82.98%85.32%87.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)637.65699.38766.44839.26918.301,004.081,062.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)650.48656.65662.81
Year 2 PV (M)663.01675.64688.39
Year 3 PV (M)675.25694.63714.38
Year 4 PV (M)687.19713.62740.80
Year 5 PV (M)698.85732.60767.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,092.2722,111.0323,168.79
Equity Value (M)24,467.0425,584.1726,742.82
Shares Outstanding (M)864.55864.55864.55
Fair Value$28.30$29.59$30.93
Upside / Downside104.63%113.97%123.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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