DDM Analysis: CAFO.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$131.56 - $518.78	$360.92
Multi-Stage	$62.54 - $68.47	$65.45
Blended Fair Value	$213.19
Current Price	$8.56
Upside	2,390.48%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	23.88%	68.22%	0.56	0.21	0.03	0.27	0.12	0.19	0.04	0.15	0.02	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	168.79%	689.52%	-90.14%	122.08%	-37.25%	427.49%	-74.74%	784.97%	150.82%	110.34%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.60%	2.19%	0.29%	1.90%	3.57%	4.07%	0.52%	2.02%	0.20%	0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	24.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)	20.23

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4.86	3.04	1.82
Cash Retained (M)	20.23	20.23	20.23
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4.86	-3.04	-1.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)	15.37	17.19	18.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9.32	9.32	9.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.65	1.84	1.97
LTM Dividend per Share	0.44	0.44	0.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.65	1.84	1.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.09	2.28	2.41
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$131.56	$360.92	$518.78
Upside / Downside	1,436.89%	4,116.36%	5,960.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	24.32	25.90	27.58	29.37	31.28	33.32	34.32
Payout Ratio	16.81%	31.45%	46.09%	60.73%	75.36%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.09	8.15	12.71	17.84	23.58	29.99	31.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	7.53	7.60	7.67
Year 2 PV (M)	10.86	11.07	11.28
Year 3 PV (M)	14.09	14.49	14.90
Year 4 PV (M)	17.21	17.87	18.55
Year 5 PV (M)	20.23	21.21	22.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)	513.13	537.92	563.65
Equity Value (M)	583.05	610.15	638.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	9.32	9.32	9.32
Fair Value	$62.54	$65.45	$68.47
Upside / Downside	630.64%	664.61%	699.85%

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8593.T	Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc.	2.97%	$38.97	34.55%
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9201.T	Japan Airlines Co., Ltd.	2.96%	$85.89	30.05%
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9931.TW	Hsin Kao Gas Co.,Ltd.	2.96%	$1.01	40.68%
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035890.KQ	Seohee Construction Co., Ltd.	2.95%	$47.87	7.53%
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000895.SZ	Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd.	2.94%	$0.78	52.50%
002540.SZ	Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology Co., Ltd.	2.94%	$0.21	63.05%
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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Mode

Centrale d'Achat Française pour l'Outre-Mer S.A. (CAFO.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener