Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

AngloGold Ashanti Plc (AU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$62.70 - $109.53$82.69
Multi-Stage$52.53 - $57.14$54.79
Blended Fair Value$68.74
Current Price$83.31
Upside-17.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS55.31%30.53%0.490.220.410.490.100.050.050.080.030.01
YoY Growth--128.04%-47.29%-15.42%410.64%74.07%12.50%-38.46%160.00%200.00%-70.59%
Dividend Yield--2.14%1.19%2.12%2.32%0.42%0.24%0.39%0.75%0.29%0.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,251.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,266.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)985.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)450.20281.38168.83
Cash Retained (M)985.00985.00985.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-450.20-281.38-168.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)534.80703.63816.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)493.34493.34493.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.081.431.65
LTM Dividend per Share2.572.572.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.081.431.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.653.994.22
WACC / Discount Rate11.64%11.64%11.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$62.70$82.69$109.53
Upside / Downside-24.74%-0.75%31.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,251.002,397.322,553.142,719.092,895.843,084.073,176.59
Payout Ratio56.24%62.99%69.75%76.50%83.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,266.001,510.151,780.692,080.022,410.742,775.662,938.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.64%11.64%11.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,339.971,352.671,365.37
Year 2 PV (M)1,401.961,428.671,455.62
Year 3 PV (M)1,453.081,494.791,537.30
Year 4 PV (M)1,494.331,551.801,610.91
Year 5 PV (M)1,526.651,600.381,676.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,700.3519,603.5820,541.38
Equity Value (M)25,916.3427,031.8928,187.52
Shares Outstanding (M)493.34493.34493.34
Fair Value$52.53$54.79$57.14
Upside / Downside-36.94%-34.23%-31.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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