DDM Analysis: ALFPC.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,049.84 - $6,008.46	$1,970.38
Multi-Stage	$605.37 - $662.35	$633.34
Blended Fair Value	$1,301.86
Current Price	$102.00
Upside	1,176.33%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.21%	27.09%	2.19	2.00	1.83	1.63	1.68	1.41	1.19	0.88	0.59	0.30
YoY Growth	-	-	9.44%	9.34%	12.59%	-3.21%	19.15%	18.89%	34.65%	50.12%	95.82%	50.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.16%	1.69%	1.80%	1.39%	2.52%	1.45%	0.84%	1.07%	1.44%	0.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	50.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)	42.38

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.06	6.29	3.77
Cash Retained (M)	42.38	42.38	42.38
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.06	-6.29	-3.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)	32.32	36.09	38.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1.67	1.67	1.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share	19.40	21.67	23.18
LTM Dividend per Share	4.77	4.77	4.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share	19.40	21.67	23.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	24.17	26.44	27.95
WACC / Discount Rate	7.93%	7.93%	7.93%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,049.84	$1,970.38	$6,008.46
Upside / Downside	929.25%	1,831.74%	5,790.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	50.32	53.59	57.08	60.79	64.74	68.95	71.02
Payout Ratio	15.78%	30.63%	45.47%	60.31%	75.16%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7.94	16.41	25.95	36.66	48.66	62.05	65.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.93%	7.93%	7.93%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	15.07	15.21	15.35
Year 2 PV (M)	21.86	22.28	22.70
Year 3 PV (M)	28.35	29.16	29.99
Year 4 PV (M)	34.53	35.86	37.22
Year 5 PV (M)	40.42	42.37	44.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)	868.10	910.03	953.57
Equity Value (M)	1,008.33	1,054.91	1,103.23
Shares Outstanding (M)	1.67	1.67	1.67
Fair Value	$605.37	$633.34	$662.35
Upside / Downside	493.50%	520.92%	549.36%

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000895.SZ	Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd.	2.94%	$0.78	52.50%
002540.SZ	Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology Co., Ltd.	2.94%	$0.21	63.05%
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Fountaine Pajot S.A. (ALFPC.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener