Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Benesse Holdings, Inc. (9783.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Education & Training ServicesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$671.94 - $1,071.97$853.61
Multi-Stage$3,461.54 - $3,823.41$3,638.82
Blended Fair Value$2,246.22
Current Price$2,585.00
Upside-13.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.70%-4.51%59.9954.9549.9649.9649.9672.4294.8594.7094.7294.72
YoY Growth--9.17%9.98%0.00%0.00%-31.00%-23.65%0.15%-0.01%0.00%-0.52%
Dividend Yield--2.32%2.99%2.27%1.81%1.73%2.82%2.41%2.23%3.94%3.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,442.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,787.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)655.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,288.40805.25483.15
Cash Retained (M)655.00655.00655.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,288.40-805.25-483.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)-633.40-150.25171.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)96.4796.4796.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share-6.57-1.561.78
LTM Dividend per Share59.9959.9959.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share-6.57-1.561.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend53.4258.4361.77
WACC / Discount Rate4.35%4.35%4.35%
Growth Rate-3.34%-2.34%-1.34%
Fair Value$671.94$853.61$1,071.97
Upside / Downside-74.01%-66.98%-58.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,442.006,291.396,144.306,000.655,860.365,723.345,895.04
Payout Ratio89.83%89.87%89.90%89.93%89.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,787.005,653.815,523.695,396.565,272.365,151.015,452.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.35%4.35%4.35%
Growth Rate-3.34%-2.34%-1.34%
Year 1 PV (M)5,362.795,418.275,473.75
Year 2 PV (M)4,969.675,073.035,177.45
Year 3 PV (M)4,605.374,749.794,897.19
Year 4 PV (M)4,267.784,447.144,632.10
Year 5 PV (M)3,954.934,163.784,381.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)310,768.02327,179.06344,276.19
Equity Value (M)333,928.57351,031.07368,838.06
Shares Outstanding (M)96.4796.4796.47
Fair Value$3,461.54$3,638.82$3,823.41
Upside / Downside33.91%40.77%47.91%

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