Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Global One Real Estate Investment Corp. (8958.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - OfficeSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$796,077.96 - $2,888,704.27$2,506,790.89
Multi-Stage$372,555.75 - $407,207.56$389,565.77
Blended Fair Value$1,448,178.33
Current Price$143,000.00
Upside912.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.006,100.145,197.944,549.744,675.454,590.093,811.613,547.722,862.252,108.37
YoY Growth---100.00%17.36%14.25%-2.69%1.86%20.42%7.44%23.95%35.76%-30.52%
Dividend Yield--0.00%6.14%4.53%4.15%4.03%4.54%2.61%3.08%3.12%2.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,602.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,667.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,935.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,920.531,825.331,095.20
Cash Retained (M)5,935.005,935.005,935.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,920.53-1,825.33-1,095.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,014.474,109.674,839.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.011.011.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,998.484,087.874,814.13
LTM Dividend per Share8,621.708,621.708,621.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,998.484,087.874,814.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend11,620.1812,709.5713,435.83
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$796,077.96$2,506,790.89$2,888,704.27
Upside / Downside456.70%1,653.00%1,920.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,602.6715,551.8416,562.7117,639.2918,785.8420,006.9220,607.13
Payout Ratio59.36%65.49%71.61%77.74%83.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,667.6710,184.1811,861.2313,713.2615,755.9418,006.2319,061.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,425.049,514.389,603.71
Year 2 PV (M)10,158.8210,352.3210,547.64
Year 3 PV (M)10,869.5411,181.5711,499.51
Year 4 PV (M)11,557.7112,002.1912,459.36
Year 5 PV (M)12,223.8312,814.2413,427.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)320,307.09335,778.04351,841.10
Equity Value (M)374,542.03391,642.74409,378.59
Shares Outstanding (M)1.011.011.01
Fair Value$372,555.75$389,565.77$407,207.56
Upside / Downside160.53%172.42%184.76%

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