Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Raysum Co., Ltd. (8890.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26,032.61 - $68,817.98$64,492.52
Multi-Stage$9,871.66 - $10,798.65$10,326.66
Blended Fair Value$37,409.59
Current Price$3,420.00
Upside993.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.94%0.00%54.7147.115.1659.5160.2563.5246.4535.2328.780.00
YoY Growth--16.12%813.51%-91.33%-1.21%-5.16%36.76%31.85%22.40%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.59%0.46%7.14%6.35%6.26%2.85%3.72%4.08%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,931.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,970.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,961.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,986.201,241.38744.83
Cash Retained (M)4,961.004,961.004,961.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,986.20-1,241.38-744.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,974.803,719.634,216.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.7028.7028.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share103.65129.61146.91
LTM Dividend per Share173.17173.17173.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share103.65129.61146.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend276.83302.78320.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26,032.61$64,492.52$68,817.98
Upside / Downside661.19%1,785.75%1,912.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,931.0010,576.5211,263.9911,996.1512,775.9013,606.3314,014.52
Payout Ratio50.05%58.04%66.03%74.02%82.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,970.006,138.217,437.298,879.3210,477.3912,245.7012,963.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.62%6.62%6.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,702.945,756.995,811.05
Year 2 PV (M)6,419.906,542.186,665.61
Year 3 PV (M)7,121.147,325.567,533.86
Year 4 PV (M)7,806.918,107.148,415.95
Year 5 PV (M)8,477.478,886.939,312.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)247,781.29259,749.22272,175.19
Equity Value (M)283,309.64296,368.03309,913.73
Shares Outstanding (M)28.7028.7028.70
Fair Value$9,871.66$10,326.66$10,798.65
Upside / Downside188.64%201.95%215.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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