Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

WNC Corporation (6285.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$397.17 - $1,266.07$1,186.49
Multi-Stage$173.44 - $189.51$181.33
Blended Fair Value$683.91
Current Price$116.50
Upside487.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.32%11.67%5.994.171.712.052.012.812.792.692.551.83
YoY Growth--43.76%143.11%-16.23%1.87%-28.60%0.69%3.87%5.34%39.73%-8.04%
Dividend Yield--4.29%2.68%1.68%2.90%2.74%5.46%3.46%3.65%3.19%2.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,092.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,323.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)768.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)618.49386.56231.93
Cash Retained (M)768.50768.50768.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-618.49-386.56-231.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)150.01381.94536.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)485.76485.76485.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.791.10
LTM Dividend per Share4.784.784.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.791.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.095.575.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$397.17$1,186.49$1,266.07
Upside / Downside240.92%918.45%986.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,092.443,293.453,507.523,735.513,978.324,236.914,364.02
Payout Ratio75.15%78.12%81.09%84.06%87.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,323.952,572.822,844.233,140.063,462.333,813.224,036.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,385.212,407.822,430.43
Year 2 PV (M)2,444.552,491.112,538.11
Year 3 PV (M)2,502.012,573.832,647.01
Year 4 PV (M)2,557.612,655.972,757.14
Year 5 PV (M)2,611.412,737.552,868.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)71,751.5375,217.1578,815.42
Equity Value (M)84,252.3288,083.4392,056.62
Shares Outstanding (M)485.76485.76485.76
Fair Value$173.44$181.33$189.51
Upside / Downside48.88%55.65%62.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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