Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Bank of Tianjin Co., Ltd. (1578.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.48 - $18.30$14.58
Multi-Stage$20.54 - $22.61$21.56
Blended Fair Value$18.07
Current Price$2.26
Upside699.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.33%1.59%0.120.000.000.000.180.180.180.200.180.12
YoY Growth--3,015.19%4,254.34%-98.17%-97.26%0.79%-2.55%-9.06%13.61%51.10%12.65%
Dividend Yield--7.07%0.25%0.01%0.28%6.99%6.02%3.95%3.53%2.88%1.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,731.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)733.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,997.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,346.26841.41504.85
Cash Retained (M)5,997.475,997.475,997.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,346.26-841.41-504.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,651.205,156.055,492.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,070.556,070.556,070.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.850.90
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.850.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.890.971.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-0.64%0.36%1.36%
Fair Value$11.48$14.58$18.30
Upside / Downside407.80%544.99%709.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,731.316,755.226,779.216,803.296,827.456,851.707,057.25
Payout Ratio10.90%26.72%42.54%58.36%74.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)733.851,805.102,883.963,970.455,064.636,166.536,527.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-0.64%0.36%1.36%
Year 1 PV (M)1,669.661,686.461,703.27
Year 2 PV (M)2,467.402,517.322,567.73
Year 3 PV (M)3,142.073,237.903,335.66
Year 4 PV (M)3,707.223,858.744,014.86
Year 5 PV (M)4,175.104,389.484,612.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)109,538.70115,163.27121,016.55
Equity Value (M)124,700.15130,853.18137,250.66
Shares Outstanding (M)6,070.556,070.556,070.55
Fair Value$20.54$21.56$22.61
Upside / Downside808.93%853.78%900.41%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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