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Definitive Analysis

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M&T Bank Corporation (0JW2.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$683.01 - $3,345.46$1,453.24
Multi-Stage$370.60 - $405.27$387.62
Blended Fair Value$920.43
Current Price$195.46
Upside370.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.14%9.20%5.435.274.763.523.453.353.102.782.682.28
YoY Growth--3.11%10.70%35.13%2.14%2.89%8.18%11.58%3.51%17.83%1.03%
Dividend Yield--3.08%3.70%4.01%2.06%2.34%3.37%1.92%1.54%1.85%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,771.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)925.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,846.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)554.20346.38207.83
Cash Retained (M)1,846.001,846.001,846.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-554.20-346.38-207.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,291.801,499.631,638.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)164.73164.73164.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.849.109.94
LTM Dividend per Share5.625.625.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.849.109.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.4614.7215.56
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$683.01$1,453.24$3,345.46
Upside / Downside249.44%643.49%1,611.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,771.002,951.123,142.943,347.233,564.803,796.513,910.41
Payout Ratio33.38%44.71%56.03%67.35%78.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)925.001,319.301,760.952,254.442,804.653,416.863,617.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,214.841,226.361,237.87
Year 2 PV (M)1,493.141,521.581,550.29
Year 3 PV (M)1,760.231,810.761,862.25
Year 4 PV (M)2,016.442,093.992,173.75
Year 5 PV (M)2,262.092,371.352,484.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)52,300.4154,826.5457,449.35
Equity Value (M)61,047.1663,850.5866,758.30
Shares Outstanding (M)164.73164.73164.73
Fair Value$370.60$387.62$405.27
Upside / Downside89.60%98.31%107.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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