DDM Analysis: 0836.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$544.27 - $1,071.61	$1,004.26
Multi-Stage	$166.54 - $182.29	$174.27
Blended Fair Value	$589.26
Current Price	$18.94
Upside	3,011.22%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	31.93%	8.06%	1.57	0.69	0.25	0.64	0.56	0.39	0.85	0.85	0.85	0.75
YoY Growth	-	-	128.78%	176.09%	-61.13%	14.48%	42.20%	-53.69%	-0.01%	0.23%	13.16%	3.46%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.33%	4.34%	1.56%	2.46%	6.70%	3.60%	5.64%	5.83%	6.89%	4.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	26,523.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11,131.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	15,392.24

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,304.75	3,315.47	1,989.28
Cash Retained (M)	15,392.24	15,392.24	15,392.24
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,304.75	-3,315.47	-1,989.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)	10,087.49	12,076.77	13,402.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,922.41	4,922.41	4,922.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.05	2.45	2.72
LTM Dividend per Share	2.26	2.26	2.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.05	2.45	2.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.31	4.71	4.98
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$544.27	$1,004.26	$1,071.61
Upside / Downside	2,773.64%	5,202.31%	5,557.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	26,523.77	28,247.81	30,083.92	32,039.38	34,121.94	36,339.86	37,430.06
Payout Ratio	41.97%	51.57%	61.18%	70.79%	80.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11,131.52	14,568.66	18,405.60	22,679.79	27,431.86	32,705.87	34,622.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	13,572.00	13,700.65	13,829.29
Year 2 PV (M)	15,973.44	16,277.69	16,584.81
Year 3 PV (M)	18,336.30	18,862.67	19,399.02
Year 4 PV (M)	20,661.04	21,455.61	22,272.87
Year 5 PV (M)	22,948.12	24,056.52	25,207.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)	728,303.33	763,480.65	800,004.29
Equity Value (M)	819,794.24	857,833.80	897,297.64
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,922.41	4,922.41	4,922.41
Fair Value	$166.54	$174.27	$182.29
Upside / Downside	779.32%	820.12%	862.45%

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MCGS.QA	Medicare Group Q.P.S.C.	2.99%	$0.20	64.83%
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0RHU.L	Flughafen Wien AG	2.98%	$1.65	62.41%
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NST.AX	Northern Star Resources Limited	2.98%	$0.73	45.12%
600704.SS	Wuchan Zhongda Group Co.,Ltd.	2.97%	$0.17	22.55%
8593.T	Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc.	2.97%	$38.97	34.55%
KBL.TO	K-Bro Linen Inc.	2.97%	$1.04	69.43%
O10.SI	Far East Orchard Limited	2.97%	$0.04	30.11%
PLANB.BK	Plan B Media Public Company Limited	2.97%	$0.12	46.85%
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6527.TWO	Crystalvue Medical Corporation	2.96%	$2.24	40.94%
9201.T	Japan Airlines Co., Ltd.	2.96%	$85.89	30.05%
9633.HK	Nongfu Spring Co., Ltd.	2.96%	$1.43	61.73%
9931.TW	Hsin Kao Gas Co.,Ltd.	2.96%	$1.01	40.68%
FTS	Fortis Inc.	2.96%	$1.54	47.07%
035890.KQ	Seohee Construction Co., Ltd.	2.95%	$47.87	7.53%
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600667.SS	Wuxi Taiji Industry Limited Corporation	2.95%	$0.23	83.84%
603577.SS	Qingdao Huijintong Power Equipment Co.,Ltd.	2.95%	$0.31	79.62%
603699.SS	Neway Valve (Suzhou) Co., Ltd.	2.95%	$1.53	81.92%
000020.KS	Dongwha Pharm.Co.,Ltd	2.94%	$182.44	65.71%
000895.SZ	Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd.	2.94%	$0.78	52.50%
002540.SZ	Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology Co., Ltd.	2.94%	$0.21	63.05%
013120.KQ	DongWon Development Co.,Ltd.	2.94%	$80.92	85.28%
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China Resources Power Holdings Company Limited (0836.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener