Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ILJIN Holdings Co., Ltd. (015860.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65,683.27 - $179,088.60$167,832.25
Multi-Stage$25,477.93 - $27,866.84$26,650.52
Blended Fair Value$97,241.38
Current Price$5,460.00
Upside1,680.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.24%12.91%272.61241.39246.40100.03146.2770.0251.3060.19111.81109.04
YoY Growth--12.93%-2.03%146.32%-31.61%108.89%36.49%-14.77%-46.17%2.54%34.66%
Dividend Yield--7.69%5.47%5.42%1.99%2.91%2.53%1.41%1.19%2.31%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41,397.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21,774.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,623.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,279.595,174.743,104.85
Cash Retained (M)19,623.5919,623.5919,623.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,279.59-5,174.74-3,104.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,344.0014,448.8416,518.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.9745.9745.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share246.76314.30359.32
LTM Dividend per Share473.65473.65473.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share246.76314.30359.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend720.41787.94832.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65,683.27$167,832.25$179,088.60
Upside / Downside1,102.99%2,973.85%3,180.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41,397.9544,088.8146,954.5950,006.6353,257.0656,718.7758,420.34
Payout Ratio52.60%60.08%67.56%75.04%82.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21,774.3626,487.7431,721.8637,524.5143,947.4851,046.9054,038.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24,601.2924,834.4825,067.67
Year 2 PV (M)27,364.3327,885.5428,411.67
Year 3 PV (M)30,064.5130,927.5631,806.96
Year 4 PV (M)32,702.8933,960.5535,254.14
Year 5 PV (M)35,280.4836,984.5438,753.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,021,251.451,070,578.271,121,792.95
Equity Value (M)1,171,264.951,225,170.941,281,087.21
Shares Outstanding (M)45.9745.9745.97
Fair Value$25,477.93$26,650.52$27,866.84
Upside / Downside366.63%388.10%410.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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