DDM Analysis: 0046.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.56 - $2.20	$1.88
Multi-Stage	$4.25 - $4.67	$4.46
Blended Fair Value	$3.17
Current Price	$1.51
Upside	109.80%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-12.44%	-3.60%	0.11	0.18	0.18	0.18	0.13	0.21	0.15	0.20	0.14	0.16
YoY Growth	-	-	-40.00%	2.83%	-2.92%	38.64%	-38.03%	43.81%	-25.52%	43.06%	-12.33%	0.26%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.14%	7.23%	7.38%	6.66%	5.55%	6.81%	5.13%	6.96%	5.17%	5.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	62.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	53.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)	9.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12.55	7.85	4.71
Cash Retained (M)	9.10	9.10	9.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12.55	-7.85	-4.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-3.45	1.26	4.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	244.36	244.36	244.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.01	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.22	0.22	0.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.01	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.21	0.22	0.24
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	-5.58%	-4.58%	-3.58%
Fair Value	$1.56	$1.88	$2.20
Upside / Downside	3.59%	24.54%	45.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	62.77	59.90	57.15	54.53	52.03	49.65	51.14
Payout Ratio	85.50%	86.40%	87.30%	88.20%	89.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	53.67	51.75	49.89	48.10	46.36	44.69	47.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	-5.58%	-4.58%	-3.58%
Year 1 PV (M)	47.94	48.44	48.95
Year 2 PV (M)	42.81	43.72	44.64
Year 3 PV (M)	38.23	39.46	40.71
Year 4 PV (M)	34.13	35.60	37.12
Year 5 PV (M)	30.48	32.12	33.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)	843.75	889.39	936.98
Equity Value (M)	1,037.34	1,088.74	1,142.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	244.36	244.36	244.36
Fair Value	$4.25	$4.46	$4.67
Upside / Downside	181.14%	195.07%	209.57%

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600704.SS	Wuchan Zhongda Group Co.,Ltd.	2.97%	$0.17	22.55%
8593.T	Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc.	2.97%	$38.97	34.55%
KBL.TO	K-Bro Linen Inc.	2.97%	$1.04	69.43%
O10.SI	Far East Orchard Limited	2.97%	$0.04	30.11%
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6527.TWO	Crystalvue Medical Corporation	2.96%	$2.24	40.94%
9201.T	Japan Airlines Co., Ltd.	2.96%	$85.89	30.05%
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9931.TW	Hsin Kao Gas Co.,Ltd.	2.96%	$1.01	40.68%
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035890.KQ	Seohee Construction Co., Ltd.	2.95%	$47.87	7.53%
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000895.SZ	Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd.	2.94%	$0.78	52.50%
002540.SZ	Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology Co., Ltd.	2.94%	$0.21	63.05%
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Computer And Technologies Holdings Limited (0046.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener