Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ruida Futures Co., Ltd. (002961.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.53 - $142.30$57.95
Multi-Stage$20.87 - $22.81$21.82
Blended Fair Value$39.89
Current Price$21.55
Upside85.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS59.07%15.77%0.380.250.370.310.210.040.130.020.020.00
YoY Growth--54.89%-34.00%22.23%43.87%466.43%-70.62%452.01%39.60%1,845.66%-99.04%
Dividend Yield--2.35%1.95%2.36%1.59%1.02%0.13%1.60%0.00%0.21%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)497.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)165.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)331.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)99.4062.1337.28
Cash Retained (M)331.77331.77331.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-99.40-62.13-37.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)232.37269.65294.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)451.92451.92451.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.880.961.02
WACC / Discount Rate8.27%8.27%8.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$33.53$57.95$142.30
Upside / Downside55.58%168.91%560.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)497.01529.32563.72600.37639.39680.95701.38
Payout Ratio33.25%44.60%55.95%67.30%78.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)165.24236.06315.39404.04502.88612.86648.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.27%8.27%8.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)215.99218.03220.08
Year 2 PV (M)264.03269.06274.13
Year 3 PV (M)309.47318.36327.41
Year 4 PV (M)352.42365.98379.92
Year 5 PV (M)392.97411.95431.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,896.078,277.468,673.44
Equity Value (M)9,430.969,860.8310,306.64
Shares Outstanding (M)451.92451.92451.92
Fair Value$20.87$21.82$22.81
Upside / Downside-3.16%1.25%5.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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