DDM Analysis: 002593.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.07 - $1.60	$1.32
Multi-Stage	$1.83 - $2.00	$1.91
Blended Fair Value	$1.62
Current Price	$5.12
Upside	-68.45%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.92%	0.53%	0.10	0.05	0.10	0.10	0.10	0.10	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	95.20%	-49.18%	3.95%	-3.83%	-3.72%	1.92%	2.29%	229.95%	-67.17%	-2.25%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.01%	1.43%	2.70%	2.72%	2.83%	2.95%	2.47%	2.53%	0.45%	1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	99.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	80.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	18.56

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	19.82	12.39	7.43
Cash Retained (M)	18.56	18.56	18.56
(-) Cash Required (M)	-19.82	-12.39	-7.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-1.26	6.17	11.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	781.10	781.10	781.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.10	0.11	0.12
WACC / Discount Rate	8.45%	8.45%	8.45%
Growth Rate	-0.99%	0.01%	1.01%
Fair Value	$1.07	$1.32	$1.60
Upside / Downside	-79.19%	-74.28%	-68.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	99.11	99.12	99.14	99.15	99.17	99.18	102.15
Payout Ratio	81.27%	83.02%	84.76%	86.51%	88.25%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	80.55	82.29	84.03	85.78	87.52	89.26	94.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.45%	8.45%	8.45%
Growth Rate	-0.99%	0.01%	1.01%
Year 1 PV (M)	75.12	75.88	76.64
Year 2 PV (M)	70.03	71.45	72.89
Year 3 PV (M)	65.26	67.26	69.29
Year 4 PV (M)	60.79	63.28	65.85
Year 5 PV (M)	56.60	59.51	62.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,100.32	1,157.02	1,216.03
Equity Value (M)	1,428.12	1,494.41	1,563.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	781.10	781.10	781.10
Fair Value	$1.83	$1.91	$2.00
Upside / Downside	-64.29%	-62.63%	-60.91%

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MCGS.QA	Medicare Group Q.P.S.C.	2.99%	$0.20	64.83%
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8593.T	Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc.	2.97%	$38.97	34.55%
KBL.TO	K-Bro Linen Inc.	2.97%	$1.04	69.43%
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9201.T	Japan Airlines Co., Ltd.	2.96%	$85.89	30.05%
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9931.TW	Hsin Kao Gas Co.,Ltd.	2.96%	$1.01	40.68%
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035890.KQ	Seohee Construction Co., Ltd.	2.95%	$47.87	7.53%
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000895.SZ	Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd.	2.94%	$0.78	52.50%
002540.SZ	Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology Co., Ltd.	2.94%	$0.21	63.05%
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Xiamen Sunrise Group Co., Ltd. (002593.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener