DDM Analysis: 002215.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$18.02 - $57.52	$29.06
Multi-Stage	$12.23 - $13.34	$12.77
Blended Fair Value	$20.92
Current Price	$12.91
Upside	62.01%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	35.77%	7.10%	0.22	0.15	0.20	0.09	0.14	0.05	0.14	0.01	0.09	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	44.22%	-24.60%	117.38%	-32.50%	189.15%	-65.98%	926.13%	-85.53%	31.32%	-35.08%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.41%	1.75%	2.69%	1.39%	2.45%	0.78%	2.06%	0.17%	0.87%	0.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	672.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	411.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)	261.05

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	134.50	84.06	50.44
Cash Retained (M)	261.05	261.05	261.05
(-) Cash Required (M)	-134.50	-84.06	-50.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	126.55	176.99	210.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	994.04	994.04	994.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.18	0.21
LTM Dividend per Share	0.41	0.41	0.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.18	0.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.54	0.59	0.63
WACC / Discount Rate	8.67%	8.67%	8.67%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$18.02	$29.06	$57.52
Upside / Downside	39.55%	125.10%	345.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	672.51	716.22	762.77	812.36	865.16	921.39	949.04
Payout Ratio	61.18%	66.95%	72.71%	78.47%	84.24%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	411.45	479.48	554.61	637.48	728.78	829.25	877.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.67%	8.67%	8.67%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	437.08	441.23	445.37
Year 2 PV (M)	460.87	469.65	478.51
Year 3 PV (M)	482.89	496.76	510.88
Year 4 PV (M)	503.24	522.59	542.50
Year 5 PV (M)	521.99	547.20	573.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,746.69	10,217.46	10,706.25
Equity Value (M)	12,152.77	12,694.89	13,256.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	994.04	994.04	994.04
Fair Value	$12.23	$12.77	$13.34
Upside / Downside	-5.30%	-1.08%	3.30%

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Financial Statements

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Shenzhen Noposion Agrochemicals Co.,Ltd (002215.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener