Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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KG Chemical Corporation (001390.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$134,997.88 - $223,782.98$209,717.43
Multi-Stage$36,380.54 - $39,819.15$38,068.25
Blended Fair Value$123,892.84
Current Price$4,795.00
Upside2,483.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.52%6.26%480.07419.28363.40328.0165.49205.2662.1556.3052.45139.51
YoY Growth--14.50%15.38%10.79%400.86%-68.09%230.25%10.39%7.34%-62.40%-46.69%
Dividend Yield--13.34%7.14%4.51%5.25%1.21%9.46%2.06%1.07%1.91%4.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)77,050.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36,200.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)40,850.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15,410.119,631.325,778.79
Cash Retained (M)40,850.0540,850.0540,850.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-15,410.11-9,631.32-5,778.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)25,439.9431,218.7335,071.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)68.4768.4768.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share371.52455.92512.18
LTM Dividend per Share528.67528.67528.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share371.52455.92512.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend900.20984.591,040.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$134,997.88$209,717.43$223,782.98
Upside / Downside2,715.39%4,273.67%4,567.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)77,050.5582,058.8387,392.6693,073.1899,122.94105,565.93108,732.91
Payout Ratio46.98%55.59%64.19%72.79%81.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36,200.5045,613.4156,097.0667,750.8780,682.6695,009.34100,577.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)42,545.7942,949.0743,352.35
Year 2 PV (M)48,805.4349,735.0450,673.42
Year 3 PV (M)54,980.2856,558.5758,166.77
Year 4 PV (M)61,071.1863,419.8165,835.53
Year 5 PV (M)67,078.9870,318.9273,682.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,216,657.312,323,722.692,434,885.71
Equity Value (M)2,491,138.992,606,704.102,726,596.64
Shares Outstanding (M)68.4768.4768.47
Fair Value$36,380.54$38,068.25$39,819.15
Upside / Downside658.72%693.92%730.43%

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