Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dongwha Pharm.Co.,Ltd (000020.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46,391.41 - $54,656.94$51,221.56
Multi-Stage$13,886.78 - $15,211.98$14,537.13
Blended Fair Value$32,879.35
Current Price$6,360.00
Upside416.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.53%9.82%180.60180.35180.35179.89119.92119.92149.91110.1680.1180.89
YoY Growth--0.14%0.00%0.26%50.00%0.00%-20.00%36.08%37.50%-0.95%14.29%
Dividend Yield--3.02%1.90%2.17%1.32%0.84%1.83%1.59%0.90%0.88%1.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,592.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,989.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,603.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,518.45949.03569.42
Cash Retained (M)2,603.022,603.022,603.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,518.45-949.03-569.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,084.571,653.992,033.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.6327.6327.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share39.2659.8773.61
LTM Dividend per Share180.60180.60180.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share39.2659.8773.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend219.86240.48254.22
WACC / Discount Rate5.09%5.09%5.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$46,391.41$51,221.56$54,656.94
Upside / Downside629.42%705.37%759.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,592.258,085.748,611.329,171.059,767.1710,402.0410,714.10
Payout Ratio65.71%70.57%75.43%80.29%85.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,989.235,706.266,495.427,363.068,316.069,361.839,910.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.09%5.09%5.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,378.855,429.845,480.82
Year 2 PV (M)5,771.445,881.375,992.34
Year 3 PV (M)6,167.006,344.036,524.42
Year 4 PV (M)6,565.566,818.057,077.76
Year 5 PV (M)6,967.137,303.647,653.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)352,774.88369,814.04387,505.33
Equity Value (M)383,624.86401,590.97420,233.70
Shares Outstanding (M)27.6327.6327.63
Fair Value$13,886.78$14,537.13$15,211.98
Upside / Downside118.35%128.57%139.18%

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