Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

TowneBank (TOWN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.11 - $246.82$109.69
Multi-Stage$41.87 - $45.73$43.76
Blended Fair Value$76.73
Current Price$34.57
Upside121.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.73%16.68%0.990.940.830.730.690.650.590.450.400.29
YoY Growth--5.09%13.75%13.49%5.84%5.81%10.06%30.27%12.75%38.92%37.06%
Dividend Yield--2.90%3.42%3.11%2.44%2.27%3.60%2.33%1.61%1.24%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)169.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)76.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.9321.2112.73
Cash Retained (M)92.9292.9292.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.93-21.21-12.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)58.9871.7180.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)75.7975.7975.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.780.951.06
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.780.951.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.962.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65.11$109.69$246.82
Upside / Downside88.35%217.30%613.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)169.67180.70192.45204.95218.28232.46239.44
Payout Ratio45.24%54.19%63.14%72.09%81.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)76.7597.92121.51147.76176.91209.22221.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.40%8.40%8.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)89.4890.3391.18
Year 2 PV (M)101.47103.41105.36
Year 3 PV (M)112.76116.00119.30
Year 4 PV (M)123.37128.11132.99
Year 5 PV (M)133.33139.77146.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,612.822,739.022,870.05
Equity Value (M)3,173.243,316.643,465.34
Shares Outstanding (M)75.7975.7975.79
Fair Value$41.87$43.76$45.73
Upside / Downside21.12%26.59%32.27%

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