Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

REA Group Limited (REA.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.30 - $102.94$84.65
Multi-Stage$61.26 - $66.46$63.81
Blended Fair Value$74.23
Current Price$240.49
Upside-69.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.53%12.66%2.121.701.641.471.141.181.170.980.850.76
YoY Growth--24.84%3.65%11.59%29.12%-3.23%0.64%19.38%14.53%11.76%18.70%
Dividend Yield--0.88%0.89%1.15%1.31%0.67%1.09%1.19%1.08%1.29%1.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)980.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)504.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)476.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)196.14122.5973.55
Cash Retained (M)476.00476.00476.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-196.14-122.59-73.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)279.86353.41402.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)132.24132.24132.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.122.673.04
LTM Dividend per Share3.823.823.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.122.673.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.936.496.86
WACC / Discount Rate14.66%14.66%14.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$68.30$84.65$102.94
Upside / Downside-71.60%-64.80%-57.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)980.701,044.451,112.331,184.641,261.641,343.641,383.95
Payout Ratio51.46%59.17%66.88%74.59%82.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)504.70618.00743.91883.561,038.231,209.281,280.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate14.66%14.66%14.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)533.91538.97544.03
Year 2 PV (M)555.23565.80576.48
Year 3 PV (M)569.73586.08602.74
Year 4 PV (M)578.36600.60623.48
Year 5 PV (M)581.98610.09639.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,281.955,537.075,801.95
Equity Value (M)8,101.158,438.618,787.96
Shares Outstanding (M)132.24132.24132.24
Fair Value$61.26$63.81$66.46
Upside / Downside-74.53%-73.47%-72.37%

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