Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Baker Hughes Company (BKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.38 - $247.19$124.83
Multi-Stage$50.84 - $55.55$53.15
Blended Fair Value$88.99
Current Price$48.72
Upside82.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.18%11.60%0.840.790.730.590.490.400.320.160.000.30
YoY Growth--6.36%8.26%22.64%21.31%23.54%25.40%103.23%0.00%-100.00%6.45%
Dividend Yield--1.91%2.36%2.53%1.63%2.27%3.78%1.14%0.56%0.00%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,891.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)891.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,000.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)578.20361.38216.83
Cash Retained (M)2,000.002,000.002,000.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-578.20-361.38-216.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,421.801,638.631,783.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)995.25995.25995.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.431.651.79
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.431.651.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.322.542.69
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$77.38$124.83$247.19
Upside / Downside58.82%156.22%407.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,891.003,078.923,279.043,492.183,719.173,960.924,079.75
Payout Ratio30.82%42.66%54.49%66.33%78.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)891.001,313.341,786.812,316.292,907.053,564.833,773.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,197.221,208.571,219.92
Year 2 PV (M)1,484.831,513.111,541.66
Year 3 PV (M)1,754.651,805.021,856.34
Year 4 PV (M)2,007.472,084.672,164.08
Year 5 PV (M)2,244.062,352.452,464.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,908.4743,932.6746,034.33
Equity Value (M)50,596.7152,896.4955,281.33
Shares Outstanding (M)995.25995.25995.25
Fair Value$50.84$53.15$55.55
Upside / Downside4.35%9.09%14.01%

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