Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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Sector

Weatherford International plc (WFRD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.13 - $52.87$44.87
Multi-Stage$56.51 - $62.08$59.24
Blended Fair Value$52.06
Current Price$68.43
Upside-23.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.490.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)405.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)333.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.0050.6330.38
Cash Retained (M)333.00333.00333.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.00-50.63-30.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)252.00282.38302.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.2373.2373.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.443.864.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.443.864.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.424.845.12
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$37.13$44.87$52.87
Upside / Downside-45.74%-34.43%-22.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)405.00400.95396.94392.97389.04385.15396.71
Payout Ratio17.78%32.22%46.67%61.11%75.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.00129.20185.24240.15293.94346.64366.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)116.61117.80118.99
Year 2 PV (M)150.90153.99157.12
Year 3 PV (M)176.56182.02187.60
Year 4 PV (M)195.05203.14211.47
Year 5 PV (M)207.61218.42229.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,291.223,462.603,641.05
Equity Value (M)4,137.944,337.964,545.89
Shares Outstanding (M)73.2373.2373.23
Fair Value$56.51$59.24$62.08
Upside / Downside-17.42%-13.43%-9.28%

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