Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Fundamentals

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

ProfilGruppen AB (publ) (PROF-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$610.14 - $2,340.27$1,747.06
Multi-Stage$333.12 - $364.47$348.51
Blended Fair Value$1,047.78
Current Price$130.00
Upside705.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.54%0.00%5.934.6114.352.070.004.994.783.000.000.00
YoY Growth--28.74%-67.89%594.12%0.00%-100.00%4.24%59.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.05%3.63%13.74%1.34%0.00%7.56%4.31%2.58%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)38.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.5010.946.56
Cash Retained (M)38.4038.4038.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.50-10.94-6.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.9027.4631.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.407.407.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.823.714.30
LTM Dividend per Share6.646.646.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.823.714.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.4610.3510.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate4.97%5.97%6.97%
Fair Value$610.14$1,747.06$2,340.27
Upside / Downside369.34%1,243.89%1,700.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.5092.7298.26104.12110.34116.92120.43
Payout Ratio56.11%62.89%69.67%76.45%83.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.1058.3168.4579.6091.83105.23111.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate4.97%5.97%6.97%
Year 1 PV (M)54.1954.7155.22
Year 2 PV (M)59.1160.2461.39
Year 3 PV (M)63.8765.7267.59
Year 4 PV (M)68.4771.1273.84
Year 5 PV (M)72.9276.4680.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,146.152,250.352,358.55
Equity Value (M)2,464.722,578.592,696.73
Shares Outstanding (M)7.407.407.40
Fair Value$333.12$348.51$364.47
Upside / Downside156.24%168.08%180.36%

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