Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dekpol S.A. (DEK.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,283.90 - $2,690.82$2,521.69
Multi-Stage$1,586.35 - $1,741.15$1,662.31
Blended Fair Value$2,092.00
Current Price$83.60
Upside2,402.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.490.000.000.000.000.001.180.530.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%122.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.26%1.21%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.6314.148.49
Cash Retained (M)93.1693.1693.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.63-14.14-8.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.5379.0284.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.439.4510.13
LTM Dividend per Share2.392.392.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.439.4510.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8211.8412.52
WACC / Discount Rate1.82%1.82%1.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,283.90$2,521.69$2,690.82
Upside / Downside2,631.94%2,916.38%3,118.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113.15120.50128.33136.68145.56155.02159.67
Payout Ratio17.66%32.13%46.60%61.07%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.9938.7259.8083.46109.95139.52147.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.82%1.82%1.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)37.6738.0338.38
Year 2 PV (M)56.6157.6858.77
Year 3 PV (M)76.8679.0781.32
Year 4 PV (M)98.51102.30106.19
Year 5 PV (M)121.62127.49133.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,874.7013,496.5514,142.20
Equity Value (M)13,265.9613,901.1214,560.46
Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
Fair Value$1,586.35$1,662.31$1,741.15
Upside / Downside1,797.55%1,888.40%1,982.72%

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