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Stradim Espace Finances S.A. (ALSAS.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.09 - $19.58$16.17
Multi-Stage$32.43 - $35.72$34.04
Blended Fair Value$25.11
Current Price$5.90
Upside325.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.77%-1.04%0.170.370.370.340.000.260.260.240.150.09
YoY Growth---52.56%0.00%8.55%0.00%-100.00%0.00%8.02%56.36%77.42%-54.94%
Dividend Yield--2.95%5.68%4.95%4.53%0.00%3.72%3.83%1.94%2.53%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.140.710.43
Cash Retained (M)2.522.522.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.14-0.71-0.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.391.812.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.573.573.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.510.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.510.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.281.401.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-3.04%-2.04%-1.04%
Fair Value$13.09$16.17$19.58
Upside / Downside121.80%174.06%231.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.695.585.465.355.245.145.29
Payout Ratio55.65%62.52%69.39%76.26%83.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.173.493.794.084.364.624.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-3.04%-2.04%-1.04%
Year 1 PV (M)3.243.283.31
Year 2 PV (M)3.283.353.41
Year 3 PV (M)3.283.393.49
Year 4 PV (M)3.263.403.54
Year 5 PV (M)3.223.393.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)99.38104.61110.06
Equity Value (M)115.66121.40127.37
Shares Outstanding (M)3.573.573.57
Fair Value$32.43$34.04$35.72
Upside / Downside449.74%477.03%505.42%

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