Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Potens (7712.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.30 - $71.03$57.83
Multi-Stage$99.74 - $109.86$104.70
Blended Fair Value$81.27
Current Price$120.50
Upside-32.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.410.000.920.610.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.03%0.00%0.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)159.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.9819.9911.99
Cash Retained (M)115.75115.75115.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.98-19.99-11.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)83.7895.77103.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.2731.2731.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.683.063.32
LTM Dividend per Share1.411.411.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.683.063.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.094.474.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$46.30$57.83$71.03
Upside / Downside-61.58%-52.01%-41.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)159.89158.29156.71155.14153.59152.05156.61
Payout Ratio27.60%40.08%52.56%65.04%77.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.1463.4582.37100.91119.06136.85144.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)58.8959.4960.09
Year 2 PV (M)70.9572.4073.87
Year 3 PV (M)80.6783.1685.71
Year 4 PV (M)88.3492.0095.77
Year 5 PV (M)94.2399.14104.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,725.692,867.623,015.41
Equity Value (M)3,118.763,273.813,435.09
Shares Outstanding (M)31.2731.2731.27
Fair Value$99.74$104.70$109.86
Upside / Downside-17.22%-13.11%-8.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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