Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fuji Die Co.,Ltd. (6167.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$174.53 - $255.54$213.57
Multi-Stage$309.79 - $339.49$324.35
Blended Fair Value$268.96
Current Price$725.00
Upside-62.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.72%11.63%31.8731.8721.8721.8724.0824.1323.0822.1222.1219.31
YoY Growth--0.00%45.75%0.00%-9.19%-0.21%4.58%4.32%0.00%14.58%81.99%
Dividend Yield--4.40%3.71%3.29%3.39%3.79%3.68%3.78%2.59%2.96%3.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)455.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)317.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)138.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)91.0056.8834.13
Cash Retained (M)138.00138.00138.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-91.00-56.88-34.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.0081.13103.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.8919.8919.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.364.085.22
LTM Dividend per Share15.9415.9415.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.364.085.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.3020.0221.16
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Fair Value$174.53$213.57$255.54
Upside / Downside-75.93%-70.54%-64.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)455.00451.40447.84444.30440.79437.30450.42
Payout Ratio69.67%73.74%77.80%81.87%85.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)317.00332.85348.43363.74378.79393.57416.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.51%8.51%8.51%
Growth Rate-1.79%-0.79%0.21%
Year 1 PV (M)303.66306.75309.84
Year 2 PV (M)290.00295.93301.93
Year 3 PV (M)276.19284.71293.41
Year 4 PV (M)262.39273.25284.43
Year 5 PV (M)248.73261.65275.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,780.915,029.325,287.95
Equity Value (M)6,161.886,451.626,752.68
Shares Outstanding (M)19.8919.8919.89
Fair Value$309.79$324.35$339.49
Upside / Downside-57.27%-55.26%-53.17%

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