Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wuxi Huaguang Environment & Energy Group Co.,Ltd. (600475.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.61 - $117.33$45.74
Multi-Stage$12.78 - $13.96$13.36
Blended Fair Value$29.55
Current Price$14.89
Upside98.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.99%39.05%0.720.340.260.340.210.130.070.060.040.03
YoY Growth--109.41%29.87%-21.39%57.59%59.62%91.67%20.00%56.08%40.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.59%3.07%2.29%4.46%2.53%1.90%1.10%0.80%0.34%0.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)567.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)306.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.4670.9142.55
Cash Retained (M)306.62306.62306.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.46-70.91-42.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)193.16235.71264.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)961.54961.54961.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.520.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.61$45.74$117.33
Upside / Downside51.86%207.16%688.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)567.29604.17643.44685.26729.80777.24800.56
Payout Ratio45.95%54.76%63.57%72.38%81.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.67330.84409.03495.99592.53699.52740.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)304.30307.18310.07
Year 2 PV (M)346.03352.62359.28
Year 3 PV (M)385.93397.01408.30
Year 4 PV (M)424.06440.36457.14
Year 5 PV (M)460.46482.70505.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,366.5910,867.3011,387.18
Equity Value (M)12,287.3712,847.1913,427.75
Shares Outstanding (M)961.54961.54961.54
Fair Value$12.78$13.36$13.96
Upside / Downside-14.18%-10.27%-6.21%

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