Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

XANO Industri AB (publ) (XANO-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$649.04 - $764.67$716.61
Multi-Stage$439.46 - $482.37$460.52
Blended Fair Value$588.56
Current Price$56.00
Upside951.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.13%8.07%0.991.721.701.220.000.940.940.520.510.28
YoY Growth---42.35%0.85%40.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%79.50%1.73%80.00%-37.50%
Dividend Yield--1.68%2.05%1.75%0.81%0.00%2.28%1.82%1.00%1.50%1.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)229.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)200.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.8028.6317.18
Cash Retained (M)200.00200.00200.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.80-28.63-17.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)154.20171.38182.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.5659.5659.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.592.883.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.592.883.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.083.363.56
WACC / Discount Rate2.32%2.32%2.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$649.04$716.61$764.67
Upside / Downside1,058.99%1,179.66%1,265.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)229.00243.89259.74276.62294.60313.75323.16
Payout Ratio12.66%28.13%43.60%59.07%74.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.0068.61113.24163.39219.57282.37298.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.32%2.32%2.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)66.4267.0567.68
Year 2 PV (M)106.13108.15110.19
Year 3 PV (M)148.25152.50156.84
Year 4 PV (M)192.87200.29207.92
Year 5 PV (M)240.12251.72263.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,419.8126,647.6027,922.37
Equity Value (M)26,173.6027,427.3128,728.77
Shares Outstanding (M)59.5659.5659.56
Fair Value$439.46$460.52$482.37
Upside / Downside684.76%722.35%761.37%

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