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Range Resources Corporation (RRC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.54 - $29.04$24.07
Multi-Stage$28.57 - $31.37$29.94
Blended Fair Value$27.01
Current Price$37.64
Upside-28.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.01%11.28%0.320.320.160.000.000.080.080.080.070.11
YoY Growth--0.29%99.91%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.65%0.51%18.92%-38.40%1.78%
Dividend Yield--0.81%0.92%0.61%0.00%0.00%3.66%0.74%0.57%0.24%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)573.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)83.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)490.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)114.7671.7243.03
Cash Retained (M)490.01490.01490.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-114.76-71.72-43.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)375.25418.28446.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)240.71240.71240.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.561.741.86
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.561.741.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.912.092.20
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-0.60%0.40%1.40%
Fair Value$19.54$24.07$29.04
Upside / Downside-48.08%-36.05%-22.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)573.78576.07578.36580.67582.98585.31602.87
Payout Ratio14.60%29.68%44.76%59.84%74.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)83.77170.98258.88347.47436.77526.78557.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-0.60%0.40%1.40%
Year 1 PV (M)155.16156.72158.28
Year 2 PV (M)213.19217.50221.85
Year 3 PV (M)259.67267.59275.67
Year 4 PV (M)296.21308.31320.78
Year 5 PV (M)324.20340.83358.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,628.025,916.886,217.48
Equity Value (M)6,876.457,207.847,552.21
Shares Outstanding (M)240.71240.71240.71
Fair Value$28.57$29.94$31.37
Upside / Downside-24.10%-20.45%-16.65%

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