Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $27,940.78 - $60,886.94 | $57,059.98 |
| Multi-Stage | $9,040.52 - $9,903.61 | $9,464.10 |
| Blended Fair Value | $33,262.04 | |
| Current Price | $2,078.80 | |
| Upside | 1,500.06% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 20.47% | 0.00% | 58.97 | 0.01 | 21.29 | 4.11 | 14.86 | 23.24 | 20.38 | 17.55 | 17.77 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 1,107,739.10% | -99.98% | 417.57% | -72.31% | -36.08% | 14.05% | 16.10% | -1.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.00% | 0.00% | 2.17% | 0.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 652,860.64 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 93,890.26 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 558,970.38 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 130,572.13 | 81,607.58 | 48,964.55 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 558,970.38 | 558,970.38 | 558,970.38 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -130,572.13 | -81,607.58 | -48,964.55 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 428,398.25 | 477,362.80 | 510,005.83 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 2,132.44 | 2,132.44 | 2,132.44 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 200.90 | 223.86 | 239.17 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 44.03 | 44.03 | 44.03 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 200.90 | 223.86 | 239.17 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 244.93 | 267.89 | 283.20 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.42% | 6.42% | 6.42% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $27,940.78 | $57,059.98 | $60,886.94 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,244.08% | 2,644.85% | 2,828.95% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 652,860.64 | 695,296.58 | 740,490.86 | 788,622.77 | 839,883.25 | 894,475.66 | 921,309.93 |
| Payout Ratio | 14.38% | 29.51% | 44.63% | 59.75% | 74.88% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 93,890.26 | 205,147.89 | 330,472.32 | 471,222.17 | 628,873.27 | 805,028.09 | 852,211.68 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.42% | 6.42% | 6.42% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 190,953.25 | 192,763.23 | 194,573.22 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 286,322.25 | 291,775.89 | 297,280.97 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 380,019.38 | 390,928.37 | 402,044.16 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 472,066.48 | 490,220.83 | 508,893.83 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 562,485.17 | 589,653.41 | 617,861.45 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 17,386,504.93 | 18,226,279.62 | 19,098,194.46 |
| Equity Value (M) | 19,278,351.46 | 20,181,621.35 | 21,118,848.09 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 2,132.44 | 2,132.44 | 2,132.44 |
| Fair Value | $9,040.52 | $9,464.10 | $9,903.61 |
| Upside / Downside | 334.89% | 355.27% | 376.41% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PFE | Pfizer Inc. | 6.75% | $1.70 | 98.83% |
| COG | Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation | 6.71% | $1.49 | 52.20% |
| VZ | Verizon Communications Inc. | 6.66% | $2.70 | 57.56% |
| AC | Associated Capital Group, Inc. | 6.63% | $2.21 | 86.94% |
| VAC | Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | 6.62% | $3.90 | 78.61% |
| SSTK | Shutterstock, Inc. | 6.61% | $1.24 | 75.34% |
| EPD | Enterprise Products Partners L.P. | 6.60% | $2.12 | 80.06% |
| SXC | SunCoke Energy, Inc. | 6.57% | $0.48 | 63.44% |
| DIN | Dine Brands Global, Inc. | 6.56% | $2.18 | 90.98% |
| CBL | CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. | 6.54% | $2.42 | 61.13% |
| CRI | Carter's, Inc. | 6.47% | $2.15 | 85.39% |
| KYN | Kayne Anderson Energy Infrastructure Fund, Inc. | 6.47% | $0.80 | 35.36% |
| SMMCX | Western Asset Managed Municipals Fund Class C | 6.45% | $0.96 | 71.65% |
| HESM | Hess Midstream LP | 6.39% | $2.21 | 87.39% |
| WRB-PF | W.R. Berkley Corporation 5.10% | 6.38% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| RMT | Royce Micro-Cap Trust, Inc. | 6.37% | $0.67 | 32.29% |
| PNF | PIMCO New York Municipal Income Fund | 6.30% | $0.48 | 54.92% |
| ENR | Energizer Holdings, Inc. | 6.29% | $1.25 | 36.44% |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, Inc. | 6.29% | $6.35 | 98.06% |
| NWBI | Northwest Bancshares, Inc. | 6.27% | $0.75 | 93.81% |
| UIHC | United Insurance Holdings Corp. | 6.27% | $0.48 | 5.99% |
| TROW | T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. | 6.24% | $6.53 | 69.41% |
| JRSH | Jerash Holdings (US), Inc. | 6.20% | $0.19 | 0.52% |
| MUA | BlackRock MuniAssets Fund, Inc. | 6.14% | $0.66 | 73.39% |
| VKI | Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II | 6.11% | $0.56 | 76.68% |
| GL-PD | Globe Life Inc. 4.25% Junior Su | 6.10% | $1.03 | 7.35% |
| CLNY | Colony Capital, Inc. | 6.07% | $0.52 | 13.43% |
| OMF | OneMain Holdings, Inc. | 6.07% | $4.20 | 71.06% |
| VICI | VICI Properties Inc. | 6.07% | $1.71 | 65.54% |
| IMMR | Immersion Corporation | 6.06% | $0.39 | 14.22% |
| KRNY | Kearny Financial Corp. | 5.99% | $0.44 | 93.99% |
| DMF | BNY Mellon Municipal Income, Inc. | 5.97% | $0.41 | 29.64% |
| UNB | Union Bankshares, Inc. | 5.96% | $1.41 | 57.02% |
| ARTMX | Artisan Mid Cap Fund Inv Shs | 5.91% | $1.95 | 91.77% |
| SABA | Saba Capital Income & Opportunities Fund II | 5.87% | $0.49 | 24.55% |
| BRD | Beard Energy Transition Acquisition Corp. | 5.86% | $0.63 | 95.51% |
| ETRN | Equitrans Midstream Corporation | 5.81% | $0.72 | 69.91% |
| EHLDV | Euroholdings Ltd | 5.80% | $0.28 | 5.02% |
| REPX | Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. | 5.80% | $1.54 | 38.01% |
| AII | American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | 5.79% | $1.17 | 26.25% |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. | 5.75% | $9.35 | 47.12% |
| CXH | MFS Investment Grade Municipal Trust | 5.74% | $0.46 | 80.40% |
| GES | Guess', Inc. | 5.72% | $0.96 | 61.52% |
| KRC | Kilroy Realty Corporation | 5.71% | $2.17 | 79.80% |
| WRB-PE | W. R. Berkley Corporation 5.70% SB DB 2058 | 5.68% | $1.27 | 26.69% |
| LEO | BNY Mellon Strategic Municipals, Inc. | 5.66% | $0.36 | 37.22% |
| WLYB | John Wiley & Sons, Inc. | 5.64% | $1.76 | 92.90% |
| KMPB | Kemper Corporation 5.875% Fixed | 5.60% | $1.31 | 32.45% |
| CBTX | CBTX, Inc. | 5.56% | $1.63 | 54.55% |
| 0HST.L | Campbell Soup Company | 5.53% | $1.55 | 80.10% |