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PT Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk (INCI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,081.31 - $1,699.80$1,365.00
Multi-Stage$2,316.01 - $2,549.93$2,430.68
Blended Fair Value$1,897.84
Current Price$620.00
Upside206.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%34.760.000.0023.4218.750.005.290.008.660.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%24.92%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.32%0.00%0.00%4.43%1.86%0.00%1.24%0.00%2.55%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,846.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,219.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,627.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,569.242,855.781,713.47
Cash Retained (M)15,627.1615,627.1615,627.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,569.24-2,855.78-1,713.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,057.9212,771.3813,913.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)207.66207.66207.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share53.2561.5067.00
LTM Dividend per Share34.7634.7634.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share53.2561.5067.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend88.0296.27101.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-1.53%-0.53%0.47%
Fair Value$1,081.31$1,365.00$1,699.80
Upside / Downside74.41%120.16%174.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,846.2222,725.6622,605.7422,486.4522,367.7922,249.7522,917.24
Payout Ratio31.60%43.28%54.96%66.64%78.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,219.069,835.3912,423.9114,984.8317,518.3820,024.7821,198.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate-1.53%-0.53%0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)9,143.339,236.189,329.04
Year 2 PV (M)10,737.0310,956.2011,177.60
Year 3 PV (M)12,039.0012,409.5112,787.55
Year 4 PV (M)13,084.1513,623.7914,179.95
Year 5 PV (M)13,903.7514,624.2115,374.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)422,028.27443,896.72466,662.45
Equity Value (M)480,935.53504,746.62529,510.81
Shares Outstanding (M)207.66207.66207.66
Fair Value$2,316.01$2,430.68$2,549.93
Upside / Downside273.55%292.04%311.28%

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