Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Festi hf. (FESTI.IC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$730.09 - $2,879.09$2,002.87
Multi-Stage$350.99 - $384.01$367.20
Blended Fair Value$1,185.04
Current Price$285.00
Upside315.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-5.84%2.872.904.963.082.060.000.002.383.332.67
YoY Growth---1.07%-41.54%61.20%49.61%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-28.57%25.00%-49.09%
Dividend Yield--0.97%1.55%2.74%1.26%1.11%0.00%0.00%2.00%2.95%4.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,562.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,400.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,161.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)912.44570.28342.17
Cash Retained (M)3,161.563,161.563,161.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-912.44-570.28-342.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,249.122,591.292,819.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)315.14315.14315.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.148.228.95
LTM Dividend per Share4.444.444.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.148.228.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.5812.6713.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$730.09$2,002.87$2,879.09
Upside / Downside156.17%602.76%910.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,562.204,858.755,174.565,510.915,869.126,250.616,438.13
Payout Ratio30.70%42.56%54.42%66.28%78.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,400.642,067.922,816.033,652.654,586.145,625.555,955.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,911.391,929.511,947.62
Year 2 PV (M)2,405.842,451.672,497.93
Year 3 PV (M)2,884.392,967.193,051.56
Year 4 PV (M)3,347.403,476.143,608.55
Year 5 PV (M)3,795.263,978.574,168.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)96,265.42100,915.08105,742.69
Equity Value (M)110,609.71115,718.15121,017.24
Shares Outstanding (M)315.14315.14315.14
Fair Value$350.99$367.20$384.01
Upside / Downside23.15%28.84%34.74%

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