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Compagnie d'Entreprises CFE S.A. (CFEB.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.69 - $4.71$4.24
Multi-Stage$12.87 - $14.40$13.62
Blended Fair Value$8.93
Current Price$8.66
Upside3.07%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-30.40%-10.21%0.400.400.000.200.002.452.452.192.452.04
YoY Growth---0.48%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%11.63%-10.42%20.01%73.90%
Dividend Yield--6.87%5.27%0.00%2.07%0.00%32.44%36.56%23.22%30.54%23.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.365.223.13
Cash Retained (M)11.9911.9911.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.36-5.22-3.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.636.768.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.8124.8124.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.270.36
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.270.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.471.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-22.08%-21.08%-20.08%
Fair Value$3.69$4.24$4.71
Upside / Downside-57.40%-51.10%-45.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.8032.9926.0420.5516.2212.8013.18
Payout Ratio71.32%75.06%78.79%82.53%86.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.8124.7620.5216.9613.9911.5212.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-22.08%-21.08%-20.08%
Year 1 PV (M)22.9823.2723.57
Year 2 PV (M)17.6618.1218.58
Year 3 PV (M)13.5514.0814.62
Year 4 PV (M)10.3710.9211.48
Year 5 PV (M)7.938.459.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)246.68262.92280.01
Equity Value (M)319.17337.76357.25
Shares Outstanding (M)24.8124.8124.81
Fair Value$12.87$13.62$14.40
Upside / Downside48.58%57.23%66.30%

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