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Chamni's Eye Public Company Limited (CEYE.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.05 - $1.61$1.31
Multi-Stage$2.32 - $2.55$2.44
Blended Fair Value$1.88
Current Price$1.80
Upside4.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-6.39%0.00%0.150.150.350.140.000.210.060.340.000.00
YoY Growth--0.21%-56.81%151.25%0.00%-100.00%278.13%-84.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.64%3.55%7.02%3.57%0.00%5.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.784.242.54
Cash Retained (M)12.1412.1412.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.78-4.24-2.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.367.909.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)289.96289.96289.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.70%6.70%6.70%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.05$1.31$1.61
Upside / Downside-41.53%-27.00%-10.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.8833.5433.2132.8832.5532.2233.19
Payout Ratio64.18%69.35%74.51%79.67%84.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.7523.2624.7426.1927.6129.0030.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.70%6.70%6.70%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21.5821.8022.02
Year 2 PV (M)21.3021.7322.17
Year 3 PV (M)20.9121.5622.22
Year 4 PV (M)20.4521.3022.17
Year 5 PV (M)19.9320.9622.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)569.54599.20630.08
Equity Value (M)673.71706.56740.72
Shares Outstanding (M)289.96289.96289.96
Fair Value$2.32$2.44$2.55
Upside / Downside29.08%35.37%41.92%

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