Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Activation Group Holdings Limited (9919.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.54 - $14.50$8.44
Multi-Stage$6.06 - $6.65$6.35
Blended Fair Value$7.39
Current Price$0.76
Upside876.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.94%0.00%0.110.110.120.070.000.050.070.000.010.00
YoY Growth--4.04%-9.98%82.01%0.00%-100.00%-24.94%20,865.89%-96.40%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--14.04%11.37%14.30%5.70%0.00%3.91%5.29%0.03%0.69%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)181.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)85.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)96.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.2422.6513.59
Cash Retained (M)96.1496.1496.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.24-22.65-13.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.9073.4982.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)741.51741.51741.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.210.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Fair Value$5.54$8.44$14.50
Upside / Downside631.62%1,014.32%1,815.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)181.18188.57196.26204.26212.59221.26227.90
Payout Ratio46.94%55.55%64.16%72.78%81.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)85.04104.75125.93148.65173.02199.14210.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Year 1 PV (M)97.2298.1699.10
Year 2 PV (M)108.46110.58112.71
Year 3 PV (M)118.83122.32125.88
Year 4 PV (M)128.36133.41138.61
Year 5 PV (M)137.10143.88150.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,906.424,099.624,300.39
Equity Value (M)4,496.394,707.974,927.63
Shares Outstanding (M)741.51741.51741.51
Fair Value$6.06$6.35$6.65
Upside / Downside700.90%738.58%777.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 5 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
PFEPfizer Inc.6.75%$1.7098.83%
COGCabot Oil & Gas Corporation6.71%$1.4952.20%
VZVerizon Communications Inc.6.66%$2.7057.56%
ACAssociated Capital Group, Inc.6.63%$2.2186.94%
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation6.62%$3.9078.61%
SSTKShutterstock, Inc.6.61%$1.2475.34%
EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P.6.60%$2.1280.06%
SXCSunCoke Energy, Inc.6.57%$0.4863.44%
DINDine Brands Global, Inc.6.56%$2.1890.98%
CBLCBL & Associates Properties, Inc.6.54%$2.4261.13%
CRICarter's, Inc.6.47%$2.1585.39%
KYNKayne Anderson Energy Infrastructure Fund, Inc.6.47%$0.8035.36%
SMMCXWestern Asset Managed Municipals Fund Class C6.45%$0.9671.65%
HESMHess Midstream LP6.39%$2.2187.39%
WRB-PFW.R. Berkley Corporation 5.10%6.38%$1.2726.69%
RMTRoyce Micro-Cap Trust, Inc.6.37%$0.6732.29%
PNFPIMCO New York Municipal Income Fund6.30%$0.4854.92%
ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.6.29%$1.2536.44%
UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.6.29%$6.3598.06%
NWBINorthwest Bancshares, Inc.6.27%$0.7593.81%
UIHCUnited Insurance Holdings Corp.6.27%$0.485.99%
TROWT. Rowe Price Group, Inc.6.24%$6.5369.41%
JRSHJerash Holdings (US), Inc.6.20%$0.190.52%
MUABlackRock MuniAssets Fund, Inc.6.14%$0.6673.39%
VKIInvesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II6.11%$0.5676.68%
GL-PDGlobe Life Inc. 4.25% Junior Su6.10%$1.037.35%
CLNYColony Capital, Inc.6.07%$0.5213.43%
OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc.6.07%$4.2071.06%
VICIVICI Properties Inc.6.07%$1.7165.54%
IMMRImmersion Corporation6.06%$0.3914.22%
KRNYKearny Financial Corp.5.99%$0.4493.99%
DMFBNY Mellon Municipal Income, Inc.5.97%$0.4129.64%
UNBUnion Bankshares, Inc.5.96%$1.4157.02%
ARTMXArtisan Mid Cap Fund Inv Shs5.91%$1.9591.77%
SABASaba Capital Income & Opportunities Fund II5.87%$0.4924.55%
BRDBeard Energy Transition Acquisition Corp.5.86%$0.6395.51%
ETRNEquitrans Midstream Corporation5.81%$0.7269.91%
EHLDVEuroholdings Ltd5.80%$0.285.02%
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.5.80%$1.5438.01%
AIIAmerican Integrity Insurance Group, Inc.5.79%$1.1726.25%
VRTSVirtus Investment Partners, Inc.5.75%$9.3547.12%
CXHMFS Investment Grade Municipal Trust5.74%$0.4680.40%
GESGuess', Inc.5.72%$0.9661.52%
KRCKilroy Realty Corporation5.71%$2.1779.80%
WRB-PEW. R. Berkley Corporation 5.70% SB DB 20585.68%$1.2726.69%
LEOBNY Mellon Strategic Municipals, Inc.5.66%$0.3637.22%
WLYBJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc.5.64%$1.7692.90%
KMPBKemper Corporation 5.875% Fixed5.60%$1.3132.45%
CBTXCBTX, Inc.5.56%$1.6354.55%
0HST.LCampbell Soup Company5.53%$1.5580.10%