Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Qbic Technology Co., Ltd. (6825.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.39 - $36.30$30.74
Multi-Stage$38.48 - $42.34$40.37
Blended Fair Value$35.56
Current Price$32.37
Upside9.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.070.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---28.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.20%0.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)100.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)97.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.1712.617.56
Cash Retained (M)97.6197.6197.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.17-12.61-7.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)77.4485.0090.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.2227.2227.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.853.123.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.853.123.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.963.243.43
WACC / Discount Rate9.44%9.44%9.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$25.39$30.74$36.30
Upside / Downside-21.56%-5.03%12.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)100.8799.8698.8697.8796.8995.9298.80
Payout Ratio3.23%20.58%37.94%55.29%72.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.2620.5537.5054.1170.3986.3391.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.44%9.44%9.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.5918.7818.97
Year 2 PV (M)30.6831.3131.95
Year 3 PV (M)40.0441.2842.54
Year 4 PV (M)47.1149.0651.07
Year 5 PV (M)52.2654.9857.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)858.73903.45950.01
Equity Value (M)1,047.411,098.861,152.35
Shares Outstanding (M)27.2227.2227.22
Fair Value$38.48$40.37$42.34
Upside / Downside18.89%24.73%30.80%

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